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McAdams On: A Program Access Free-for-all

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I have to wonder what TV would look like with no regulation whatsoever. The whole regulatory framework seems designed to keep an army of attorneys employed. I have nothing against attorneys. Some of my closest friends have attorneys. Without attorneys, there would be a large void in the world now occupied by abstruse, circular logic.

Such seems the logic that dictates what’s on TV where and when and why and how and how much and for whom. E.g., cursing and privates are OK on cable-only networks but not on broadcast networks, though both are generally delivered to the same households the same way. Cable nets can pretty much program whatever they want whenever they want to, while broadcast networks have to have to cater to kids.

Cable networks, on the other hand, have to be provided in some capacity to all comers. Broadcast networks don’t, though they can use that power to extract fees for their signals. Cable rates are regulated; broadcast TV is free and TV over the Internet is a legal dance in progress.

The laws governing television are based a good deal on assumptions; about who is watching when, and what they have a “right” to watch. The program-access rules upheld today by the federal appeals court in D.C. infers that people have a “right” to watch whatever they want on the pay TV system of their choice. For the life of me, I can’t figure out why.

The federal government does not assure that I have access to sunlight on the east side of my home. It does not assure that my car is equipped with satellite radio. It can barely keep me in water suitable for drinking and air suitable for breathing. Why, for example, should the federal government make Comcast sell E! Entertainment to Time Warner Cable so that I, Deborah, am not deprived of, God help me, “Keeping Up with the Kardashians?” This, to me, is akin to praying the wind won’t blow on Sunday because I have a bicycle ride scheduled. I have this thing about more important uses for the powers that be.

The D.C. federal appeals court ruled 2-1 upholding the FCC’s program-access rules, meaning Comcast has to provide its networks to AT&T, Verizon, Dish Network, SureWest Communications, Canby Telephone and anything in between. I understand that folks running the smaller operations need access to programming to survive, but is there really no other way to compete than forced access? There are surely areas that Comcast does not intend to serve.

Judge Brett Kavanaugh of the D.C. court wrote the dissenting opinion in the program-access ruling. He said the Supreme Court “repeatedly ruled” that pay TV companies and networks are protected by the First Amendment. Precedent provides for regulating those entities only where “important” or “substantial” government interest is at stake. Judge Kavanaugh didn’t think that forcing cable operators to share programming served the government interest at the necessary level, and neither do I. There’s other ways to compete in the multichannel video market. Picture quality, a la carte availability and price are three that come immediately to mind.

Even the judge who wrote the majority opinion said program-access rules were likely to end. Hopefully when they do, we’ll see what type of competitive innovation they’re now holding back.

McAdams On: Protecting TV Consumers

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Sen. John Kerry of Massachusetts this week implored the FCC to “help protect TV consumers.” He’d written a letter to FCC chief Julius Genachowski urging the chairman to prevent WABC-TV from yanking its signal off Cablevision systems. The two are deadlocked in retransmission talks. WABC is threatening to cut Cablevision off the night before the Academy Awards.

“These are private negotiations, but there’s a public interest at stake,” he said. “Its resolution matters to the consumers who take hard-earned money out of their wallets each month to pay their cable bills and shouldn’t become collateral damage in wars between executives.”

In reality, there are no bodies strewn on Long Island in a firestorm waged by Disney’s photogenic Mr. Iger and the earthy Dolan patriarchy. No one has suffered so much as an inconvenience and it’s unlikely they’ve even noticed this battle royale that has our friends in Washington grumbling and sermonizing like codgers in the Parliament.

The Democratic senator knows this, of course. And he probably wouldn’t care had not one of his Westchester pals called and said, “John, could you be a dear and please tell Charlie and Bob to knock it off. I’m having an Oscar party on Sunday. Tipton is dressing up in a bomb suit and I’m going to be Neytiri from ‘Avatar.’”

The preceding conversation was a dramatization, similar to Sen. Kerry’s battlefield allusion. Both are meant for effect. Had he really wanted to make WABC stay on Cablevision, he could have whipped up a law. Granted, that takes some doing, but it has a bit more gravity than a publicized letter to an appointed bureaucrat. That’s a way for the good senator to appear to be doing something about which he has no intention of doing anything.

But just to make sure he has no intention of doing anything, Rep. Joe Barton of Texas wrote a letter of his own, now don’t think he didn’t. Barton is a Texas Republican, and with all due respect, I wouldn’t play poker with the man even if the alternative involved watching reality TV. He’s got some shift to him, that one, but he does talk like a human being and not some programmed meat puppet like a lot of folks on the Hill.

“The deal is best left between the respective companies... free from government interference or cajoling,” he said in the slightly more formal written word. “The alternative is to ask the government to weight the relative value of carriage and of particular programming. This is a risky proposition.”

I have lived in Washington. I have worked on Capitol Hill. I don’t even want to start imagining what these people watch on TV, particularly what they don’t admit watching.

Barton goes on to make the multiplatform argument. That if WABC yanks its signal, Cablevision customers can get the programming another way. E.g., possibly another pay provider, although most subs now have bundles that include voice service that DBS can’t provide. And overbuilders are still rare in cable TV. ABC isn’t streaming full coverage of the event online, so there’s really only one other way for people to get the Oscars.

Free. Over the air. With an antenna. Not exactly a tragedy of monolithic proportion. I’m with Joe on this one. Let the boys battle it out. They’ll come to some sort of deal, if only temporarily, by Sunday if not sooner. It’s the Oscars. And Westchester County. Duh.

McAdams On: The Future Mobile Auction

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The FCC is determined to reclaim all of the broadcast spectrum for broadband. Even with a bill pending for the full inventory of who and what is using the radio frequency bands, the FCC is going full-tilt after that occupied by TV stations. FCC Chairman Julius Genachowski this week revealed a voluntary plan for broadcasters to turn over their spectrum in a “Future Mobile Auction.” While he stressed “voluntary,” he also failed to mention any other single source of spectrum. The question is, why?

As NBC chief Jeff Zucker reportedly pointed out during a House Judiciary Committee hearing yesterday, broadcasters now occupy roughly 200 MHz of the spectrum. Even if the commission kills broadcast TV entirely, it needs another 300 MHz to reach its stated goal. Robert Seidel of CBS noted last week at the Hollywood Post Alliance Tech Retreat that, “One of the single largest users of spectrum is the federal government, so I’d say to them, ‘check your own house before you come to ours.’” Art Allison of the NAB said the DTV spectrum allocation model was flawed, and that only single-interference models were used for testing. Hence TV stations and networks continue to work out signal coverage and reception issues. (See “Post-transition Issues Persist”)

If ever there was an opportunity for conspiracy theory, this seems to be one. The government agency in charge of regulating broadcast television appears intent on killing it. The reality of most conspiracy theories, however, is they assign far too much cleverness on the part of perpetrators. The spectrum battle is just a political lobbying pig dressed up in public-interest lipstick. To hear FCC Chairman Julius Genachowski tell it, nationwide broadband will heal the world. It will put everyone to work. It will resolve the health-care schism, raise literacy levels and clean up the environment. No, really. Clean up the environment:

“With mobile broadband,” the chairman said Wednesday, “consumers and businesses can utilize Smart Grid-enabled information services. A whole new world of ‘energy apps’ can adjust lights, heating, and cooling from a smartphone or netbook, saving electricity, saving our environment, and saving money to boot.”

Wacky as it may be to the chairman, some of us turn off the lights before we leave the house. But that’s a teensy quibble. The bigger quibble is the disconnect between the chairman’s notions about how Americans live versus the reality. This is endemic in Washington, D.C. I remember once telling an FCC deputy that I didn’t have cable TV because I choose to delegate my meager disposable income elsewhere. I, a journalist, speaking to he, a D.C. attorney. He was incredulous that I thought $100 a month was too much to spend on TV.

Frankly, I think any amount of money per month is too much to spend on TV, which places me among around 20 million or so Americans who watch it over-the-air. That’s not enough to justify the use of spectrum for broadcasting, opponents say without so much as a nod to the anti-competitive nature of their position. Over-the-air television is the only alternative source of programming in many, many situations. Cable whines about satellite, but the reality is that the vast majority of Americans have a choice of exactly one cable provider--if that--and no DBS provider in some cases. Others, the two DBS providers. Where I live, it’s DirecTV or antenna TV. That’s it.

There are also people who don’t care about TV, just as there are people who don’t care about broadband. There are actual human beings in America who are not compelled to tweet their selection of sandwich meat. According to the FCC’s own survey, 17.7 million Americans think the Internet is a waste of time. I understand that’s heresy in smartphone-centric Washington, D.C., where the FCC just tweeted, “Broadband Plan Executive Director Blair on how the Plan will positively affect investment climate.”

Which answers the “why.” Wireless providers and by association, Wall Street, can get more out of monthly fee services than broadcasters can from free TV. And now broadcasters want to take free TV mobile, which would compete with the incrementally charged video services proffered by wireless providers. Therein is the crux of this entire effort to reallocate broadcast spectrum for broadband. That, and nothing else. Public-interest assertions are disingenuous posturing.

Americans deserve to be told the truth so that when they can’t find drinking water after the next big natural disaster, they know who to thank.

McAdams On: Broadcast Audio, Leave it to the Experts

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Legislation to regulate loud content on TV remains pending on Capitol Hill. Such legislation has circulated before, and nothing new has happened since December on the most recent effort. However, the current proposed law has made it further through the legislative food chain than any of its predecessors.

The related bills gained traction in part because just about every American home has a TV set and a third-grader can comprehend abrupt changes in audio volume. Lawmakers occasionally require something they can all agree on in order to prove there does exist in nature something upon which they can all agree.

“All of us have had the experience of enjoying a favorite program only to find ourselves scrambling to locate the remote control when at the commercial break the volume of the television seemingly doubles. Those volume increases must end.” That was Virginia Democrat Rep. Rick Boucher last fall when his Communications subcommittee signed off on the House version.

If it were as easy as passing a law, those volume increases would have ended already. No one in the broadcast industry is particularly keen on annoying viewers to the point of driving them away. And it’s not is if they don’t know people are annoyed by abrupt audio shifts. They get the phone calls.

It’s also not as if they’re doing nothing about it. Broadcast audio was the topic of many hours of discussion at the Hollywood Post Alliance Technology Retreat this week in Rancho Mirage, Calif. After the display of a startling number of bar graphs, line charts and other plotted values of dialogue, commercial transitions and general program content, it’s clear that audio levels vary significantly and often suddenly on TV.  Kind of like in real life.

Except for the sounds of real life generally occur in a somewhat organic or at least contiguous environment. The audio in television is attached to multiple and disparate sources that are stitched together, often on the fly and at the last minute, for distribution to homes. Notwithstanding the multiple variations of the distribution system and all its inherent, potential anomalies, each source of content bears an agenda of getting one’s attention and manipulating emotional response.

Case in point: The opening of the crime drama “CSI” typically begins with the lead character making his inevitable cryptic remark as if to his lapel, immediately followed by Pete Townsend’s full-body power shred on “Baba O’Riley.” That’s clearly on purpose; the show’s producers do it for effect--typically the Pavlovian signal that it’s time to pay attention to the tube. That type of shift seems to be copasetic with viewers compared to say, a transition from the lapel chat to a caffeine-drenched voice bellowing about free mattresses.

One is apparently acceptable; the other is not. Countless hours of work, intellectual rigor, debate and standardization has been expended to define a comfort zone for television audio. The resulting technology and practices are just now coming into regular implementation, and thus deserve a chance to work.

Should lawmakers proceed with its current audio legislation, it will give the FCC a year to come up with parameters. The industry is already far ahead of that curve. The only thing a law would do is complicate an already sufficiently complicated issue, and probably impose yet another massively cumbersome record-keeping requirement.

Some things are better left unregulated.

McAdams On: The Politics of Revenue

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Toyota this week punished ABC for saving lives. That may be an overstatement; certainly it is to the carmaker. Toyota dealers beat down ABC affiliates in the Southeast for the network’s ongoing coverage of the carmaker’s recalls by shifting ad dollars to competing stations. Toyota’s message to the news media: You report what we like or we pull our money.

And so ABC responded. The continuing Toyota story, possibly one of the most nefarious of corporate misbehavior, is no longer front and center on ABCNews.com. It’s now buried down in the Blotter section, where a former attorney with the company said it systematically destroyed and subverted evidence of safety problems. Toyota says the guy’s crazy; the usual recourse on whistle-blowers.

In the meantime, the L.A. Times has a story from one of many drivers suing the automaker; he’s pictured glaring at the camera from the confines of a neck brace he earned rolling over a suddenly accelerating Corolla. The Christian Science Monitor, which doesn’t own TV stations, notes that questions remain about the car company’s explanation for what has been revealed as endemic sudden acceleration. The Monitor found reports of Prius complaints as far back as 2005 models; only 2010s were recalled.

The ball started rolling last September with a Lexus and Toyota recall affecting around 4 million vehicles over floor mats that were said to get stuck under gas pedals, causing unintended acceleration. ABC News investigated, running a story in November with drivers who challenged the floor-mat explanation. They were going faster when the brake pedal was pressed.

Another 2.3 million Toyotas were recalled in January, about one-third of them for an acceleration-related mechanical malfunction. Around that time, ABC’s Brian Ross did a story on a guy who had the same experience and credited the news outlet for saving his life when he shifted the car into neutral and nursed it to a dealership where it sat revving for no explicable reason.

Then production was stopped on eight of the company’s most popular vehicles, and further recalls continue worldwide. Around 60 lawsuits have been filed, including more than a dozen for wrongful death and personal injury, according to AboutLawsuits.com.

Defenders are speaking forth, including governors of four states with big non-union Toyota plants representing manufacturing jobs that are now nigh-on impossible to replace. Edmonds.com released a complaint report from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration listing Toyota as 17th among carmakers with the most complaints per vehicle sold.

“No one should overlook the issues raised by the Toyota recalls, but it is important to keep things in perspective,” said Edmonds.com CEO Jeremy Anwyl. “A broader view shows that consumer complaints reflect an industry issue, not just a Toyota issue. As Toyota’s experience in recent months clearly demonstrates, it is no longer an option for car companies to dismiss consumer complaints, even if the event is difficult to replicate or diagnose.”

Anwyl may have a point, but there’s no telling about how Toyota would have handled the current situation without the bright, shining light shown on it by Ross and his ilk. The company could very well have continued blaming drivers, as it did in the case of a couple who’s car dragged itself over a cliff, killing the driver’s wife.

Here’s the deal; Toyota certainly doesn’t owe ABC affiliates any allegiance or advertising dollars, but its tactic reeks of evading culpability. What it should have done is come clean months ago rather than blame drivers for driving its cars. Corporate heads should have rolled. Executives should have issued authentic, sincere apologies, and outlined the rectification strategy immediately. Ross likely would have backed off.

But Toyota equivocated, much as any corporation doing business in the world today for fear of being sued, even when denial doesn’t prevent legal action. It’s about the size of the settlement.

The unfortunate fall-out is the further endangerment of news. News that presses for accountability from business, bankers, politicians and people in general. Gathering news is not free. Opinion, such as this and that which dominates most of what’s published on the Internet, is not news. News is a research and fact-checking process that takes time and resources, as well as a culture of integrity from the society it serves.

When business no longer supports a true and viable news media, we’d all better start riding bikes. Slowly.

McAdams On: Regulatory Relief

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Regulatory intervention makes for a bad business plan, and broadcasting unfortunately is so wound up in regulatory relief Houdini would be challenged to free it. The industry has become reliant on must-carry, retransmission consent and various other shards that keep competitors from eating it alive. Now NBC stations are looking down the barrel of a retrans rival from whom they must also negotiate network affiliations. They’re now on the front line of a rapidly evolving media environment in which dependence on traditional regulatory structures yields ever-greater vulnerability.

A merger of Comcast and NBC Universal would represent the first time a cable operator would take majority ownership of one of the nation’s largest broadcast networks. It would put non-O&O NBC stations carried on Comcast systems at the mercy of a mega corporation with interests diametrically opposed to those stations. The head of their affiliate board yesterday implored Congress to create yet another regulatory structure by which retrans and affiliation negotiations are completely separate.

Few things seem more unlikely. Congress has no say over the proposed merger. Comcast chief Brian Roberts and NBCU head Jeff Zucker just showed up on Capitol Hill to be polite. Members of the House Commerce communications subcommittee were polite back. They got a bit of a spleen venting from Sen. Al Franken (D-Minn.) over in the Senate Judiciary Committee. He will therefore look tough on big business to the folks back home.

Other lawmakers will posture accordingly. Roberts and Zucker will promise to be nice. Zucker will then be relegated to the content community where hubris is a requirement. Roberts and his deputy Steve Burke will repair to the castle in Philly and craft a business-integration plan that will assure the further growth of Comcast. The company started 47 years ago with 15 people, when Brian Roberts was four. It now employs more than 100,000 people, in spite of regulatory controls on rates, content and access to its infrastructure. It could just be that Roberts and Burke know how to compete. That would seem to be the whole idea of capitalism, until someone gets knocked off the top of the heap.

Broadcasting enjoyed exclusive residence to that rarified air for many decades. Now its advocates have to witness its desperate attempt to slow its descent by clutching at regulations. For years, that community has wondered why broadcasters didn’t mass market free DTV long, long before the transition date. It could have emerged a true competitor to cable and satellite. But that didn’t happen. It instead opted for retrans, the long-term sustainability of which seems highly unlikely.

Comcast-NBCU is a simultaneous shot over the bow of retrans and the affiliate model. The future of TV stations might well be 24/7 generators of local content for any type of platform from cable to ATSC-enabled iPads. Whatever it becomes, it’s unlikely to be limping along entirely dependent on regulatory relief. It’s seriously time for the broadcast industry to stop looking back.

McAdams On: Broadband Flimflam

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WASHINGTON: Everyone has a cell phone, so service providers have but one way to increase revenues--sell more features. One of those features is full-motion video, e.g., TV. Cell-phone TV is just getting legs, so the last thing service providers need is a bunch of broadcasters offering the same thing for free. One way to make sure they don’t is to relieve them of spectrum, and two lobbies in Washington have figured out how.

The CTIA--The Wireless Association representing the big cell-phone service providers, and the Consumer Electronics Association, are proposing that over-the-air TV be moved to a low-power, distributed transmission scheme. The pair claim that TV stations with distributed transmission won’t need as much buffer spectrum, aka white space. They suggest repacking broadcasters in order to free up the white space for broadband.

Let’s not even bother with the fact that the white space has already been handed to Google and Microsoft. Let’s play like that regulatory abuse never happened, and that we can all have free broadband and cell service on Google’s ad-supported Nexus.

The broadcast lobbies objected to the DTS strategy, saying it would never provide the same coverage as high-power broadcasting. The technology for DTS was approved by the broadcast industry’s standards body to fill gaps digital signals don’t reach. TV stations across the country continue to work out reception issues from last summer
s DTV transition, when substantial areas of coverage were lost by many moving to VHF assignments.

Whether or not a distributed transmission system could adequately replace the current one is beside the point. Redesigning the broadcast television infrastructure while the last redesign continues is a waste of taxpayer money. The federal government put up a few billion dollars to transition public TV stations and the public to digital television. Towers, transmitters and antennas weighing tons have been put in place for a channel plan that was conceived of within the last five years. Studios and broadcast facilities have been outfitted with the necessary, corresponding digital technology.

The fed helped pay for the digital transition because the fed ordered it. The fed ordered the digital transition to give wireless providers more spectrum, which they got last year and have yet to fully use. Now who’s spectrum-squatting?

The CTIA and the CEA, like a lot of other anti-broadcast groups, are saying that using the spectrum for broadband would generate billions of dollars. The estimates are stellar. In this case, the pair say spectrum freed by repacking for DTS would bring anywhere from $36.5 billion to $65.6 billion. From whom? AT&T and Verizon, one would presume. Few other companies have $65 billion lying around, and the software guys know how to get spectrum for free. The CTIA/CEA filing suggests that such lucrative auction proceeds could help underwrite this new broadcast transmission system, though they don’t factor in the cost of the one that’s not yet entirely completed. Granted, cameras wouldn’t have to be swapped out, but just about everything necessary to transmit a signal would.

The many, many tons of gear Americans just paid for to accomplish the digital transition? That would be called, “scrap.”

There is the economic argument that nationwide access to broadband has the potential to increase small business opportunities for people in even the most remote areas. That might well be true, but phone companies will wrench underwriting from the fed to serve remote and rural communities, just like they’ve done for years with voice service. Estimates for the universal broadband service fund haven’t been floated. The end cost to the consumer has not been floated.

Money is the singular reason that every U.S. household, school and business does not already have access to broadband. It’s not at all about spectrum. The wireless industry wants to hold everyone hostage to exorbitant monthly subscriber fees for using what is purported to be the public airwaves. And by marginalizing broadcasters, they eliminate potential competition for mobile video services.

Tooth fairy, Santa Claus, Easter Bunny, free market.

McAdams On: The HD-to-3DTV Transition

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HDTV is about to become as passé as Zip Drives, dot-matrix printers and vacuums that have to be pushed around. Or so it seems from the rhetoric surrounding 3DTV. It’s compelling, no doubt. The migration of television to a digital infrastructure opened the medium up to the same sort of fluidity characteristic of all silicon-based industries. Nothing, and I do mean nothing, remains the same for long, and the obsolescence curve keeps shortening. TrueCycle, a consumer electronics recycler in Pasadena, Calif., says the average lifespan of a computer in 1997 was four to six years. By 2005, it was said to be less than two years, “which means that one computer will become obsolete for each one put on the market,” McAdams wrote from her antique Dell.

Now television as a platform is much the same, precisely because the hardware has morphed into a computer platform. Around half of U.S. television households bought high-definition TV sets within the last four years or so. Prices for HDTV sets are about half of what they were even two years ago. A 46-inch, 1080p, 60 Hz Samsung is less than $900 at Walmart. That TV would have easily run $1,600 or more in 2008.

So it is by necessity--at least in part--that the consumer electronics industry has wrapped itself around 3DTV. The phenomenon is also a natural progression of the possibilities presented by silicon, and a certain breed of engineers of the George Mallory school of motivation. They are pursuing the technical challenges of 3DTV precisely “because it is there.”

Predictions abound about 3DTV; that it will take hold quicker than HDTV, that the 3D format itself will be a multi-billion business within two years time, etc. “Avatar” certainly advanced that mileage gauge, though it’s arguably the first widely accepted 3D movie, and James Cameron spent years and at least a quarter-of-a-billion dollars on it. It looks good for a reason. A lot of other 3D preceding it--not so much. And the early attempts at 3D sports, meaning football in the United States, generated mixed reactions. “Some of it was really tough on your eyes,” offered Shon Lucas on last year’s 3D coverage of the BCS Championship Game. Diane Pucin of The Los Angeles Times noticed the “jerky cameras, unusual angles and just a general sense that it was an experiment with kinks not worked out.”

To be fair, that was a year ago. A lot has happened since then, but there’s miles to go according to the TV experts who came together recently at the USC School of Cinematic Arts for a Sports Video Group event. There are multiple ways of formatting 3D, for one thing. There’s no single mastering standard, though the work is under way. Inserting ads is an issue unto itself. Perhaps most complex is the challenge of syncing 3D video images properly for human visual perception. That is, not making people sick.
Strabismus

What likely happened to Shon Lucas is similar to what affected folks at Cowboy Stadium Dec. 13, when a 3D version of the action on the field was displayed on the venue’s 160-by-72-foot video screen. Pupils are a fixed distance apart, and vision converges at around 60 feet, where we naturally see two dimensions. The big-screen 3D effect caused people’s eyes to veer out of alignment. With home 3DTV, this so-called “vergence” occurs at around two feet behind the viewing screen, giving large venues an on-screen appearance of a diorama.
(Slide courtesy of Mark I. Schubin.)

3DTV is exciting as much for the technical challenges as for the format itself, but I don’t look for it to supplant HDTV any time soon. Half of the TV-equipped households in the country have standard-definition TVs, and a significant portion of those have converters or a pay service hooked up to a cathode-ray tube. Those of us in the press, and certainly the consumer electronics and video industries, will hype 3DTV as if it’s the commercialization of cold fusion.

It is not. It will be an enhancement in a constantly shifting landscape of evolving media platforms, one day coming to an iTablet near you.
(Share your thoughts with me at dmcadams@nbmedia.com). -- Deborah D. McAdams)

McAdams On: 2010

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The first week of the new year’s been a doozey, starting with a cage match between Time Warner and Fox over retransmission fees. They settled on New Year’s Day after a holiday greeting from Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.). Sinclair and Mediacom also made nice for another year. The first ever trial activation of the national presidential alert system was conducted in Alaska. It worked but for a few glitches, though some informed observers noted that if there is actually ever a need for a presidential alert, no one would be around to hear it.

“Avatar,” in the meantime, broke the $1 billion mark at the box office. James Cameron’s 3D sci-fi epic movie segued nicely into the Consumer Electronics Show, where even Vizio, the Wal-Mart of TV makers, announced a new line of 3D-capable TV sets. Samsung, Panasonic, Toshiba, Sony and JVC did likewise. DirecTV, Discovery and ESPN revealed plans to launch 3DTV networks. This is clearly the year 3D video breaks fully into the mainstream market.

The timing of CES assures an avalanche of tech news during the first week of the year, although Google unveiled its Nexus One on its home turf in Mountain View, Calif. The first Google phone runs on the Google operating system and will eventually transmit on Google’s free spectrum courtesy of the Federal Communications Commission.

It’s good to be Google.

FLO TV meanwhile got into the iPhone while Samsung introduced a handset with mobile DTV reception, and LG said it had one on the way along with a likewise equipped portable DVD player.

Automaker Ford demonstrated a dashboard touch-screen for smartphone app interaction.

In Washington, D.C., meanwhile, two veteran Democratic senators announced their retirement. Sens. Chris Dodd of Connecticut and Byron Dorgan of North Dakota said they wouldn’t see re-election this year.

Across town, the chairman of the Federal Communications Commission asked for another month to complete a National Broadband Plan before presenting it to Congress.

Broadcast stocks began to rebound after Sinclair revises its fourth-quarter guidance upward, and NBC appeared to be ending its Jay Leno experiment in prime time.

Congress reconvenes in Week No. 2 of the New Year. Let the games continue...

McAdams On: 'Avatar'

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One of the most notable things about James Cameron’s use of 3D technology in his new epic movie “Avatar” is his restraint. Nothing in this movie jumps off the screen, the way 3D is so often described. “Avatar” instead draws in the audience. First, into the austere fuselage of a cargo aircraft, where a hapless former Marine with no family sits ruefully in his wheelchair.

The opening of “Avatar” fell in sharp contrast with the 3D trailers that preceded the midnight opener at The Bridge cinema in L.A.’s Howard Hughes Center. “Piranha3D” was a wall of toothy creatures headed straight for the audience. People laughed at it. Not in a good way. If the trailer of “Dispicable Me” is any indication, the animated feature is a waste of 3D. Both were indicative of why some analysts have deemed 3D to be a gimmick. Rich Greenfield of Pali Capital said as much in November. This morning, Greenfield predicted “Avatar” would have the biggest December opening weekend in history.

The film is likely to mark the true turning point in consumer adoption of 3DTV. The glasses are not a bother with “Avatar.” It doesn’t induce nausea, possibly thanks in part to the Fusion Camera System and Cameron’s employment of it to see how the motion-captured actors looked within the digitally rendered set as the scenes were being filmed. In only a couple of instances does “Avatar” jar the optic nerves. One is the sudden and swift movement of troops off of a transport that appears to have been shot by a handheld. The other involved split-second camera sweeps in the CG environment that recall pixilation in fast-motion HD, only with the brain itself unable to process the visual information rapidly enough.

Sports was supposed to be the driver of 3DTV, just as it was for high definition, but “Avatar” may hold the key to why 3D basketball and football game coverage hasn’t really set the world on fire. The action, camera angle and capture cannot be meticulously controlled. Cameron’s taken great pains to make sure 3D enhances rather than distracts.

Only one time does Cameron point anything at his audience, doing a 180-degree frontal shot of the main character with an arrow drawn in a bow.

“Avatar” works not only from a 3D perspective. The story stands on its own. “Avatar” is James Cameron’s vision of how things might have gone in the New World if bison were 15 times larger with hammer-heads and armored skin. It’s also a contemplation of why Second Life is so madly popular, what with more obese Americans than ever before. “Avatar’s” disabled main character becomes physically capable of leaping between moving aircraft and the fluorescent pterodactyl he roped and reined in mid-air. Then there’s the light-emitting flora, the six-legged horses with anteater heads, floating mountains, quad-rotor helos, transformer soldier suits and a mining operation reminiscent of “Forbidden Planet’s” Great Machine. This is “Titanic” for sci-fi geeks.

There still will be quibbles. “Avatar” is preachy on corporate greed and the environment. There’s evil Anglo Saxons crushing an indigenous pagan population, which in turn can only be saved by a conveniently enlightened Anglo Saxon. There’s a ridiculously silly spiral light-chute effect to illustrate how characters perceive the inhabitation of their avatars, like something out of “That ’70s Show.”

It will be fashionable in some circles to savage this film, but that will not prevent it from making $2 billion for the $300 million it cost to make. “Titanic” likewise left a few people rolling their eyes, but that $200 million James Cameron epic brought in $1.8 billion. 

“Avatar” comes just three weeks before the Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas, which is shaping up to be the 3D CES of 2010. Panasonic, Sony and LG all intend tooll out 3DTV sets next year. Sony is making 3D a companywide initiative, and Rupert Murdoch, whose 20th Century Fox made “Avatar,” will roll out 3DTV distribution on his U.K. satellite systems next year.

Whatever TV stations and the broadcast industry in general can do to get on this bandwagon, they should do it now, and do it right. If 3D hasn’t lit the world on fire for all the years it’s been around, it probably hasn’t been done properly.

Now, it has, and Fox has dibs on it.

McAdams On: Going Live Online

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If I hear old school one more time, I might go postal. Except for going postal is probably old school. Ambivalence over egalitarian live Web broadcasting is probably old school, too. Allow me to fetch my teeth so I can chew this fat.

Much was made of the news this week that Apple adopted a live streaming app for the iPhone. Now iPhoners can iPhone in live video of themselves or whomever doing heaven only knows what on the app Web site, Ustream. I went there and watched a young woman earnestly strum a guitar and sing painfully off-key. Thanks to the wonders of technological innovation, I was able to feel a combination of dread and pity for a total stranger.

It’s not as if live Webcasting is entirely new. All one needed up to this point is a Web cam and a URL. The majority of folks uploaded video, however, giving them time to perhaps rethink the impulse.

We’ve all played with the medium. We’re all on WordPress, Linkedin, Twitter, Orkut, Ammado, Plaxo, YouTube, MySpace, Facebook, Tripit, TypePad, Classmates, Flickr, Goodreads, Blip and Meetup like a swarm of pseudosocial butterflies. I remember when getting a story meant putting on a headlamp, climbing a tree with ropes and saddles, showing up backstage, shadowing someone, haunting certain coffee shops. Now it’s about being plugged into the matrix and Twittering yourself all over the place.

I’m baffled this stuff holds anyone’s interest longer than it takes to Tweet something. Perhaps that’s because I’m old school.

I’m also ambivalent because I do appreciate the way the Internet allows anyone to market themselves. I appreciate being able to find just about any type of music other than the endless blargh of “classic rock” that clogs traditional radio. It’s nice that the video medium isn’t just the domain of a few movie studios and TV production houses, but rather anyone with a Flip.

But we are not all stars. Even most of the folks considered stars seem a bit tedious. Let us put down our collective need to be special and acknowledge our mediocrity There are 6.8 billion of us skittering around on this wet rock, folks. We ain’t none of us all that, though I am fan of Aung San Suu Kyi. Unfortunately, Mme. Suu Kyi will be unlikely to stream anything live on the Internet anytime soon.

Kudos in the meantime to Chrysler for making a statement that could otherwise not be made in Burma. Hence the wonder of this medium, also a conduit for the substantial assemblage that cannot spell, punctuate or otherwise think an original thought. Now this group has another way to display their particular set of skills. We must alert the media. Oh, that’s right... they are the media.

We hacks are just old school.

McAdams On: Comcast Taking NBCU

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Consolidation critics are already all over the Comcast-NBCU deal, mostly because it’s a doozey. The NBCU acquisition gives the Roberts family an unprecedented chunk of the nation’s video media pipeline, but that’s not necessarily a bad thing.

All feelings about media consolidation aside, the Robertses know how to run a business. They know the meaning of due diligence and they’ve pulled assets out of the dregs before. AT&T was being dragged down by its cable TV business before Comcast picked it up in 2002. The margins on that business improved, in part because Comcast doesn’t just buy businesses to prop up faltering legacy assets. The company actually invests the resources necessary to get the best performance from an asset.

Comcast generally has an operational strategy going in that consists of more than generalized assumptions about synergy--the type that took AOL Time Warner to the ground. One of the first things Comcast does is start communicating that strategy to employees of acquired companies, who are supplied with the resources to achieve it.

Additionally, Comcast is run by executives who are hardly corporate Visigoths. They’re not starving, to be sure. Brian Roberts received $23.7 million in total compensation last year, less than 1 percent of the company’s reported net income of $2.5 billion. But neither Brian Roberts nor any of the Comcast executive team are known for outlandish personal lifestyles and spending. They belong more in the category of consummate deal-makers like John Malone, the Liberty Media chief who has a penchant for tooling around in an RV full of pugs. Roberts and his deputy, Steve Burke, are easily among the most forthright and non-egotistical lads in the media industry.   

I remember once e-mailing Brian Roberts that I’d become his mother’s fan after seeing her on a local cable access show encouraging older women to belly dance for exercise. He was clearly proud of her and thanked me.

The Comcast suite has agglomerated and made successful the nation’s largest cable operation through attention and acumen. They are likely to do the same with NBCU, which Jeffrey Immelt at GE liked well enough when it needed no attention. Now, Immelt can concentrate on light bulbs and rockets, and NBCU can be run by guys that focus exclusively on media.

The combined assets of Comcast and NBCU include more than 24 million pay TV subscribers, 15.7 million broadband and 6.5 million VoIP customers; two broadcast networks, 26 TV stations, cable networks CNBC, MSNBC, USA, Bravo SyFy, E! Entertainment, Style, Golf Channel, Versus, G4, TV One, PBS Kids Sprout, New England Cable News Network, 10 regional sports networks, two professional sports teams, two movie studios TV production and syndication as well as various other retail and entertainment interests.

The deal is expected to give Comcast annual revenues of $50 billion--roughly equivalent to the gross domestic product of Bulgaria. In case there’s any question, this is what is meant by the term, “Comcastic.”

It’s certainly not ideal that so much American media is controlled by so few, but there are arguably few that can sustain it anymore. If the alternative to media consolidation is fewer outlets, nothing is gained. The Comcast-NBCU marriage will cause all sorts of noise in Washington, D.C., but it will go through, the dust will settle and the Roberts family will buy DirecTV, Google and Vizeo.

McAdams On: Indecent Exposure

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I wonder if the Parents Television Council wouldn’t be better served by a less overt response to Adam Lambert’s performance on last Sunday’s “American Music Awards” on ABC. The group issued one of its all-points bulletins, very publicly urging members to complain to the network, the producers, advertisers and the FCC. I know righteous indignation is the charter of the PTC, and more power to them. Someone ought to be monitoring for TV dreck, but the resulting publicity just serves to draw attention to something most of us would prefer to ignore. And what could be more horrible for a performer than to be ignored?

Not much, or so it appears in Mr. Lambert’s case. I have to agree with the PTC on the point that Lambert’s performance was “vulgar” and “tasteless.” I’d have to toss “disgusting” in there as well. He held a guy’s head to his crotch and at one point sucked the tonsils out of his male keyboardist. If the youngster could actually sing, it was very hard to tell. If he hit a single note in that “song,” I missed it.

Mr. Lambert dismissed the objections to his display as discriminatory. Madonna kissing Britney Spears and Christina Aguilera during the VMAs didn’t raise such a ruckus, he reasoned. Well guess what, little man? That was six years ago. Janet Jackson’s flash dance? Five years ago. Madonna’s first sexually charged, awards-show hijinks? Try 1984. Here’s the deal: It’s been done. Again and again and again and again. So the most truly offensive thing about Lambert’s performance was how boring it is to watch yet another Hollywood sausage-made celebrity exercise his marginally developed emotional intellect on stage.

Please give it a break, already. Playboy’s going broke because boorish, overt sexuality is shoved in our faces all the time. We are Clockwork Oranged, not sexually repressed as a few wee-minded ones would like to think. We’ve just had enough of people with Narcissistic Personality Disorder “shocking” us.

Ho hum.

Maybe Hollywood continues to encourage this type of thing because of a propensity of NPDs running the business. Meanwhile, they can’t for the life of them figure out why ratings continue to sink through the floor. Hmm... better add something even more controversial to the mix. Let’s stage a B&D club with the new kid who just revealed his sexuality, even though that, too, is something most of us no longer care about.

I remember when Cindy Crawford came out as heterosexual. No, I don’t. And neither do you, because it’s not a big deal.

From what I understand, Mr. Lambert possesses a notable set of pipes. He’s been singing on stage since he was a kid, and he made it past that Simon Cowell guy, who’s not known for coddling off-key yodelers. He’s likely worked up a sweat to get where he is, and deserves more than to be cheaply showcased for his sexuality.

I wish the PTC luck, by all means, but I hope it’s response doesn’t make young Mr. Lambert even more determined to allow exhibitionism to overshadow his skill. He needs to remember... Madonna can’t actually sing.

McAdams On: South Carolina’s Leased Spectrum

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Prima facie, South Carolina spectrum lease could not have come at a worse time. While broadcasters fend off aggressive calls to give up TV spectrum to make way for broadband, South Carolina leases out its licenses for that very purpose. The state’s licenses belonged to its Educational TV organization, which for some reason had spectrum in the 2.5 GHz band--well out of TV territory. South Carolina’s been working on a deal with wireless and WiMax providers for months to make use of the spectrum. It just happened to come together at the precise moment that the attack on broadcast frequencies reached a fever pitch on Capitol Hill.

Yet South Carolina’s lease begs the question--why, if 2 GHz spectrum is adequate for broadband, is there such a hue and cry to wrench licenses away from broadcasters? Cost would be the obvious reason. Signals travel much more efficiently in the 700 MHz spectrum freed up by the DTV transition than in 2 GHz. GigaOm estimates that building a nationwide wireless network in the 700 band would cost around $2 billion versus $4 billion for PCS network at 1.9 Ghz. The primary reason for the cost differential is that the higher band requires roughly 10 times more cell towers to achieve the same coverage as one in the 700 MHz band.

Then again...

Clearwire and DigitalBridge got 1.59 GHz of bandwidth for $143 million for 30 years--around $90,000 per megahertz. Bidders shelled out $19.6 billion doled out for the 52 MHz auctioned off in the 700 MHz band--around $377 million per megahertz. That’s 4,189 times more than what Clearwire and DigitalBridge paid. So which broadband network would logically cost less to the subscriber? I wonder.

I also wonder which one will be built out first. It’s truly disingenuous to hammer for more broadband spectrum when what’s already been allocated to 4G wireless services has yet to be built out. It’s also delusional to believe that any commercial wireless provider is going to build out in remote areas if they haven’t done so already, which is why a singular nationwide broadband network seems to be an ill-conceived concept.

It’s an attractive concept, to be sure, from the perspective of a few regulatory resumes. But the approach is reminiscent of Yul Brenner’s Pharaoh. “So let it be written, so let it be done.” Not, “what is the most efficient, cost-effective and technically feasible way to bring everyone in the country online?” The first mode of operation launches immediately into justifications for itself, e.g., economic projections, social benefits, etc. The second asks right off the bat what’s the best way to reach these benefits.

An admittedly oversimplified comparison of South Carolina’s deal with the 700 MHz auction certainly doesn’t comprise a white paper on the topic of approach, but it’s unfortunately closer than the hyped being shoveled on Capitol Hill. A community-by-community approach to building out broadband might be the most logical, cost-effective way to achieve ubiquitous and reasonably secure access. It may not make one or two wireless providers unimaginably even more wealthy, but based on the government’s own mandate, that’s not the point.

McAdams On: Retransmission

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There seems to be no clearer message that networks don’t feel they need TV stations any longer than the emerging demands for a piece of retransmission fees. The network shakedown couldn’t come at a worse period in the industry, and arguably seems time to kill off the affiliate model. TV stations across the country are just now beginning to dig out of the auto-industry collapse and a loss of households in the digital transition. They’re also under attack from the federal government for their spectrum.

Retransmission consent fees, which cable and satellite operators were reluctant yet willing to pay, has been making up at least a portion of the lost revenues.

So now networks, which have ratcheted up affiliate fees in recent years, are getting ready to strong-arm stations for a piece of the retrans action. Belo’s chief, Dunia Shive, told TVNewsCheck this week that ABC had come after the Dallas-based broadcast group, which pulled in $10.6 million in retrans for the third quarter--nearly 8 percent of revenues. Nexstar of Irving, Texas took in $7.9 million in retrans--13 percent of revenues. Nexstar chief Perry Sook said he was not yet “having any specific conversations” with networks about splitting retrans because the group had no affiliate agreements up for renewal this year.

“Having said that I am not of a mind and don’t understand why the networks would feel that they’re entitled to a piece of a revenue stream that we developed that they had no hand in negotiating, documenting or collecting,” he said during Nexstar’s third-quarter earnings call.

Sook said a local cable operation in Stroudsburg, Penn., carried three NBC affiliates, including Nexstar’s, for which it paid retrans. Sook said it was proof that the value placed on affiliate signals was for local rather than national programming.

Robert Seidman, posting at TVByTheNumbers, said who’s kidding who:

“If I’m CBS I’m laughing at Sook’s comments and thinking, ‘Yeah right. How many people watch your local news broadcasts and how many people watch ‘NCIS’ and ‘NFL Football?’”

Seidman also has a point, one that goes to an increasing skepticism about the continued viability of the affiliate model. Yet if networks could go directly to national pay carriers, why haven’t they done so before now? Perhaps that’s the very question that will be on the table for the next round of affiliation renewals.

It remains to be seen how this particular battle unfolds, but right now it’s hard not to see it as just another nail in the coffin of free TV.

McAdams On: Ownership

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Public interest advocates need a reality check when it comes to news and media ownership. There’s a prevailing notion that greater ownership concentration yields less diverse and competitive coverage. There may be a kernel truth to that assumption--sometimes, in some markets. It may be the case in Hawaii, for example, where a local watchdog group is vigorously opposing a shared services agreement among the CBS, NBC and MyNetworkTV affiliates.

Coverage may become less diverse, but in all likelihood, it will look exactly like it does now.

That’s because news costs money. It has to be paid for, even if competent journalists are expected to work 24/7 for the sheer joy of doing so. News requires boots on the ground, face-to-face exchanges, research, access and quite often, time to develop a story. Sometimes those stories turn into rabbit holes. Sometimes they shine the light on wrongdoing by very powerful interests.

Occasionally, those powerful interests are the ones paying the bills for the news organization. There once was a day that journalism could bite the hand the fed it. That day is gone, and no one so much as peeped about it. Public interest groups are happy to say they’ll boycott advertisers in shows that displease them. Where are the groups supporting businesses advertising with Hearst-Argyle’s Peabody-winning news? Where are those guys?

You hear the word “greed” a lot when it comes to media consolidation. That greedy broadcasters just want to make money. I want to make money. I don’t feel greedy. Greed, thy name is Bernie Madoff, perhaps, or even corporate officers of money-losing companies firing a few thousand folks to fund their bonuses. There could be a few broadcast executives like that--sluicing a bit more than their share, pretending magic ponies will save them. But I doubt there’s many.

Several top broadcast executives have taken pay cuts, roll backs and furloughs. A $500,000 executive can absorb that more easily than a $50,000 newsroom employee, I get that. But we all live to scale, don’t we. We plan our lives according to numbers. When those change, so do our lives.

Corporate executives are the poster folks of greed in this country, rightly or wrongly so, but shareholders should be on milk cartons as well.

Most of the media in this country is publicly owned. It’s owned outright in stock, tucked into 401ks and mutual funds and vicariously owned by bondholders and banks. And shareholders--that would be the public--want as much ROI as possible and typically more.

If media consolidation is being driven by greed, there’s certainly plenty of places to point fingers.

The public bears culpability in another fashion as well, and that’s consumption. There’s the old saying in news that if it bleeds, it leads. It’s true, because mayhem draws the biggest audience. If people hankered for esoteric, detailed, intellectually rigorous reporting, that’s what they’d be dished, Mr. Copps. Seriously, dude. How many people do you really think can accurately identify Jim Lehrer versus Rihanna?

Which brings us back to Hawaii, at least in our dreams. Hawaii has around 1.3 million people. How many big stories can there possibly be going on every day? The local news there is probably pretty cookie-cutter already. The Los Angeles market has around 18 million people, and the local TV stations here all cover the same thing, sometimes in the same rotation.

The situation with media ownership and news certainly isn’t ideal, but further regulation of TV stations at this point could very well mean the end of local news altogether.

I’m not sure anyone wants that.


McAdams On: Wireless TV

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It seems odd that wireless is the holy grail of all transmitted media except TV: Wireless broadband, wireless networks, wireless phones--as in, the demise of land lines. Television alone has migrated the other way. Very few domiciles lack a snake of coaxial cable, and because of that, many folks argue that wireless TV is no longer necessary.

It may not be, if only in the sense that TV’s not exactly “necessary” the way water and food are “necessary.” But relegating TV to wires so cell phone companies can charge people subscriptions for the public airwaves seems backward.

A massive, nationwide infrastructure already exists for wireless television. That infrastructure was completely retooled in the last few years at the behest of the federal government. It’s now been live for 140 days.

It’s the only television transmission system whereby high-definition programming isn’t crushed into foggy blur. It’s a shame broadcasters didn’t shout that fact from every one of their transmitters, but that train done left the station. It’s onward, into a future where bureaucrats and lobbyists are busy rolling up the tracks.

The medium is under siege, there’s no doubt. Yet another “study” was rolled out this week asserting the spectrum is worth more for broadband than broadcasting. It doesn’t say to whom, however. The government coffers argument is a joke. Whatever money the government might make from it at auction has already been spent 192 times.

The projected economic benefits assume ubiquity, and ubiquity requires infrastructure. There are millions of Claudville, Va.’s across the country skipped over by broadband providers now. That’s not going to change under a nationwide plan. Those communities will have to develop their own strategies, as Claudville did--one in which local broadcasters participate at some level.

There’s also that $62 billion that wireless providers supposedly would pay for the broadcast spectrum licenses. All cap ex ends up coming out of customers’ pockets. That’s just business. That’s just $201 for every man, woman and child in the country. Toss in construction costs, marketing, lobbying, bonuses and incidentals, and you probably have $1,000 per person.

Phone bills will skyrocket. That’ll be fun.

There’s also scads of WiFi pockets around the country already generating millions for carriers. It’s unlikely that those will be jeopardized.

Nationwide wireless broadband is a good idea, but not dictated by the Pharaohic school of management, “so let it be written, so let it be done.” The very fact that communities like Claudville, Va., had no Internet provider into 2009 suggests nationwide access is more than a matter of spectrum. It’s economics. No service provider in business is there to make things cheaper for their customers. I am typically reminded here that long-distance calling is cheaper than it once was, but I pay the phone company five times what I did when long-distance calling cost so much per minute. My phone use is precisely the same.

This assault against broadcast television is just gathering momentum. There’s little being said about the competitive element it provides for cable TV, and what will happen to cable bills once it’s gone.

There’s a mantra in much of Washington, D.C. that no one would notice if broadcast TV went away. Meanwhile, nearly 35 million coupons were redeemed across the country for over-the-air digital TV receivers. Chances are, someone might notice if wireless TV goes away.

McAdams On: Spectrum Pressure

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Hello Gordon Smith! You have your work cut out for you. The FCC is now fully engaged in killing off broadcast television, deploying its bureaucrats to get a feel for who might want to give up their spectrum license for a cut of auction proceeds. This might not wash with the guys on the NAB board, who are actual broadcasters (as if John McCain would ever let it happen).

Debt holders are another story. Broadcast bankers might like the idea of a cash payout for spectrum, and Washington clearly has no problem giving money to banks.

The spectrum reclamation movement is in full flush, and as such, rife with distortion.

The first and most persistent is that broadcasters get the spectrum for free. They receive licenses in return for fulfilling public obligations, and in turn, the public has access to free TV. The infrastructure to provide that service is by no means free, nor was the recent government-mandated upgrade to digital transmission. The billions just spent to create digital broadcasting was also intended to free up spectrum, which it did--Chs. 52-69. Most of it, as expected, went to Verizon and AT&T, and is not yet built out. Another 10 MHz hasn’t even been auctioned off.

Some of the pressure to give up spectrum is coming from the wireless giants, who started the gambit. Verizon’s lobby in Washington is one of the most powerful. It is second in influence only to Rupert Murdoch, who has to merely yawn and stretch to get an administration to sit up and roll over.

Then Motorola got into the game, blaming the 9/11 deaths of first responders on a dearth of spectrum. The loss of life was tragic, no doubt, but the spectrum argument was disingenuous. Emergency communications had long suffered from incompatible technology standards and disparate jargon. And on that fateful day, someone failed to switch on a transmitter.

Now Google, Microsoft, Dell, et al, have skin in the game, and they’ve made the Verizon team look like a bunch of geezers in seersucker slacks. Google did nothing but pretend to bid on spectrum and got nationwide access to it for free. Absolutely free. No strings attached. No public interest obligations. Nothing. White space. Free.

If white-space broadband networks work properly without taking out TV signals, most broadcasters are for it. Claudville, Va., is a perfect test bed. No carrier was going to string Claudville, Va., at the foot of the Blue Ridge. It will be interesting to see if people in the area experience TV interference, and if they have any idea what might be causing it. Chances are, since Claudville’s network just does backhaul in white space from fixed points, there won’t be much of a problem.

But the launch itself will be held up by proponents as proof positive that white-space devices work, bar none. The fox’s nose is in the door.

Broadcasters will have to be nimble in this environment. A head-on battle won’t do. They’ll lose. Too many people get cable and satellite. The notion of over-the-air television is a waste of spectrum to a generation that needs it for texting in traffic. What truly is a “waste” of spectrum is arguable, of course. If you’re a carrier or you have stock in one, not getting subscription fees from spectrum is one form of waste. If you’re a tech giant or a stockholder, it’s not having an operating system that rules the airwaves.

Why it is that Americans want to pay for something that ostensibly belongs to them, I’ll never quite now. But that’s just a reflection of the press and the blogosphere, which are one and the same these days. I’m not so sure that all of America is really fine with the cessation of free TV for all time. The public deserves to realize what’s really going on in Washington, D.C., and they deserve to know that if broadcast TV goes away, it’s never coming back.


McAdams On: Marketing Mobile DTV

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Let’s hope we hear about mobile DTV as much as we heard about Jay moving to prime time. The Advanced Television Systems Committee last night approved the standard for transmitting mobile DTV over the air. The effort was nearly two-and-a-half years in the making, giving Verizon a significant head-start with VCast.

The wireless carrier doesn’t break out its VCast subscriber numbers, but with nearly 88 million cellular subscribers, it’s safe to bet there’s a few million. MobiTV, which won an Emmy for its mobile TV technology, is carried by AT&T and Sprint. It surpassed 6 million subscribers worldwide in February.

The incumbent carriers mean some stiff competition for broadcasters, who have their own advantages.

One is that Verizon led with data; VCast initially was launched on the carrier’s data network and video forever buffered on the user end. Subscribers fled. It relaunched on MediaFLO, a far more reliable distribution technology. Now MediaFLO’s parent, Qualcomm, is making handsets specifically to receive MediaFLO content--FLO TV.

All of these services cost money. All are subscriber based. The great hope of mobile broadcast DTV is that it will be ad-supported and therefore free. This could work, except it will take lots of loud barking!

Mobile broadcast receivers are expected to show up at the Consumer Electronics Show in January, but they should be in the market now. Broadcasters should be slathering manufacturers with Dom and filet mignon to get receivers to market. They should comp premium air-time to push them for the holiday season. They should be pushing free mobile DTV incessantly, the way NBC let every living being on the planet know that Jay Leno would appear in prime time this season.

There should not be one single life-form in the known universe who remains unaware that mobile television can be had for free. Because free means squat anymore without some form of cache attached. This is the United States of Marketing. Even the best ideas sink without sufficient marketing. Remember terrestrial DTV, with the best-quality, high-definition video available of any system--for free? Yeah, that went over big, didn’t it. Who knew? A handful of geeks and techies, that’s who.

Mobile DTV could work. It could very well be the revenue stream that saves the broadcast television industry--if people know about it. Having a couple of anchors push the service in a few newscasts is not enough. Billboards. Air time. Sponsored extreme athletes. Pink as a spokeswoman. The ATSC M/H comet. Ads at bus stops, in local neighborhood rags, on the radio, in the air from smoke-trailing biplanes.

Just this once, I hope this industry uses the power of its own platform to predicate its success rather than the petard-hoisting that was terrestrial DTV. It’s OK to take a lesson from HBO. C’mon. Feel the noise.

McAdams On: Legislation

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It’s that time of year when days get shorter and lawmakers in Washington have less time to spend an enormous amount of money. The pace of hearings accelerates and bills are churned out like sausage before Oktoberfest. Irrational legislation based on what seem to be logical premises get thrown into the mix. Such concepts often become law not because of contextual merit, but because of what’s attached--earmarks.

Jim Harper of the Cato Institute maintains WashingtonWatch.com, where he tracks every bill proffered in each Congressional session. Harper holds an annual earmark contest, imploring followers to ferret out the pork lawmakers tack onto bills for pet projects. Among the prizes for this year’s sleuths, an Amazon Kindle, an iPod Shuffle and a “deluxe regular fruitcake.”

Readers tallied up more than 40,000 earmarks comprising billions in spending. The allocations are all over the board. Rep. Steve LaTourette (R-Ohio) is looking to get $2 million for a contractor to keep track of the Navy’s stuff. That Navy. The one with all the navigators. Rep. John Dingell (D-Mich.) is seeking $2.5 million for pasteurizing egg shells to prevent bird flu just in case it spreads on egg shells. It might be cheaper just to tell people to wash eggs before they’re cracked, but that would make sense. Sen. Max Baucus (D-Mont.) is looking to take $9.5 million back to the great state of Montana for a hypersonic wind tunnel. Surely the same effect can be achieved between Constitution and Independence avenues.

The list clearly goes on. Not all earmarks will pass into law, but these things do influence lawmaking more than the actual issues. There’s one guy on Capitol Hill that works for the nation. The rest work for an individual state or a portion thereof. The seeming debates on national issues seemingly followed by the mainstream press are mostly the stuff of obfuscation. There are people who go to Washington with every intention of being a pillar of integrity. A couple of cognacs and a Cohiba later, and the shine wears off the windy car lot back home. Then it’s game on; time to make a haul for the home constituency.

They call it “Potomac Fever” back in the ’hood. Some legislators get so addled by it, they start believing themselves. Harper has a tagline for the fruits of that condition--legislation that promises more than it can possibly deliver. “And a pony.” E.g., “Congress will eliminate loud TV commercials... and give you a pony!”

Frankly, I wish Congress would give me a pony, but I can’t imagine what the poor creature would look like after being legislated into my care. (Shudders.) Neither can I imagine how slapping a loudness law on broadcasters is going to make the ad industry stop caterwauling. (The Commercial Advertisement Loudness Mitigation Act made it past a House subcommittee this week. It would direct the FCC to create a broadcast loudness standard within a year.)

Advertisers have a long and hallowed history of caterwauling. Outlawing it seems a bit communist, or at the very least, ridiculous.

First of all, broadcasters have a clue. See, they are people, and they watch TV, too. They don’t especially enjoy getting blown out of the room by a hyperactive guy mutilating vegetables and shredding cheese. And they’ve secretly been working on loudness levels for years. It’s just that there was a digital transition in there. Despite that being legislated as well, it was one giant-sized science experiment after which a lot of engineers are still cleaning up. It was a little like going to the moon, but without the space travel and those unfortunate Gosselin people. And remember, Neil nearly ran out of gas before getting to the moon. That could have been a $24 billion “woopsie,” as there were no Piggly Wigglies on the moon back then.

The DTV transition didn’t have a similar major-league near miss, but rather a lot of smaller complications to mop up. Restoring reception to households that lost it has been the primary concern. Making the audio arrive at the same time as the video has been another, since the two are delivered separately in digital transmission. That it happens at all is something of a miracle.

Loudness hasn’t really been the most pressing issue in broadcasting lately, but it’s on the agenda. They’ll get to it without legislation. Honest they will. However, the effort to criminalize loud commercials is instructive on many levels. 1) Lawmakers watch TV. 2) They are annoyed by loud commercials. 3) They have not learned, as my father did the first time he used a remote, to use the mute button.

Then again, the mute button has no earmarks.